Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. NEW TOWN . They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. robert kraft granddaughter. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. heritage commons university of utah. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. 11:03 AM. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. 01:06 PM. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. 0:00:00 The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. The Supreme Court Not So Much. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. This is the final episode. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary.